Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.001105 0.001251 0.001397 0.001554 0.001717 0.001881 0.002058
2026-01-25 0.000839 0.001047 0.001262 0.001499 0.001750 0.002008 0.002291
2026-02-01 0.000653 0.000906 0.001175 0.001480 0.001809 0.002151 0.002532
2026-02-08 0.000518 0.000805 0.001122 0.001487 0.001888 0.002311 0.002785
2026-02-15 0.000413 0.000726 0.001083 0.001504 0.001973 0.002473 0.003037
2026-02-22 0.000331 0.000665 0.001059 0.001532 0.002066 0.002639 0.003290
2026-03-01 0.000244 0.000586 0.001007 0.001522 0.002112 0.002751 0.003482
2026-03-08 0.000161 0.000499 0.000937 0.001488 0.002128 0.002826 0.003630
2026-03-15 0.000111 0.000449 0.000910 0.001500 0.002192 0.002952 0.003831
2026-03-22 0.000065 0.000392 0.000869 0.001491 0.002230 0.003047 0.003996
2026-03-29 0.000038 0.000360 0.000856 0.001516 0.002304 0.003181 0.004203
2026-04-05 0.000015 0.000321 0.000831 0.001521 0.002355 0.003286 0.004376
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000261 0.000785 0.001516 0.002412 0.003420 0.004605
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000180 0.000696 0.001455 0.002401 0.003478 0.004751
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000126 0.000640 0.001431 0.002435 0.003585 0.004953
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000090 0.000607 0.001436 0.002500 0.003729 0.005196
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000064 0.000584 0.001451 0.002578 0.003886 0.005452
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000044 0.000569 0.001477 0.002668 0.004056 0.005722
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000021 0.000531 0.001467 0.002712 0.004171 0.005928
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000002 0.000479 0.001433 0.002723 0.004246 0.006087
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000459 0.001444 0.002790 0.004385 0.006318
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000427 0.001435 0.002830 0.004492 0.006511
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000418 0.001459 0.002911 0.004646 0.006757